Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 10.677346 12.552920 14.608264 17.020745 19.767430 22.789692 26.359005
2025-03-23 7.744573 10.337071 13.486701 17.558664 22.643533 28.740870 36.557756
2025-03-30 6.151895 9.089630 12.960376 18.348473 25.555679 34.753776 47.251852
2025-04-06 4.714417 7.634970 11.770939 17.909966 26.615571 38.317977 54.993705
2025-04-13 3.568534 6.303911 10.447572 16.969947 26.716692 40.432195 60.801250
2025-04-20 3.143656 5.961916 10.469464 17.902407 29.472718 46.336831 72.179778
2025-04-27 2.853651 5.770934 10.669245 19.084558 32.657437 53.047156 85.137995
2025-05-04 2.472221 5.339699 10.397524 19.450300 34.571976 57.968478 95.755176
2025-05-11 2.091471 4.829209 9.902820 19.359405 35.705606 61.728352 104.810080
2025-05-18 1.743221 4.307125 9.299971 18.986511 36.299515 64.632088 112.664952
2025-05-25 1.460834 3.858906 8.760130 18.642783 36.877047 67.502567 120.587774
2025-06-01 1.228767 3.468486 8.268379 18.314860 37.424324 70.320363 128.545053
2025-06-08 0.940456 2.891938 7.334480 17.079002 36.326777 70.477959 132.481383
2025-06-15 0.839044 2.755170 7.321186 17.692719 38.756655 76.964287 147.622663
2025-06-22 0.763048 2.666143 7.399089 18.502637 41.634469 84.442493 164.936417
2025-06-29 0.624796 2.362908 6.924380 18.063801 42.008084 87.416306 174.538487
2025-07-06 0.487190 2.014005 6.266832 17.117355 41.240991 88.199747 180.244081
2025-07-13 0.454420 1.988469 6.424942 18.056842 44.461164 96.687043 200.395120
2025-07-20 0.433729 1.998248 6.677764 19.247721 48.309737 106.603480 223.683070
2025-07-27 0.384902 1.892642 6.596320 19.616145 50.405076 113.229868 241.166389
2025-08-03 0.328304 1.737380 6.344272 19.524586 51.469926 117.876372 255.138504
2025-08-10 0.272787 1.563567 6.001130 19.148960 51.849113 121.152282 266.632375
2025-08-17 0.226948 1.410249 5.687120 18.802706 52.254229 124.489847 278.398574